Bristol Rovers vs Exeter City Saturday 26th September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

League Two

Bristol Rovers

Sept. 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Exeter City

Match Analysis

Bristol Rovers Exeter City

Bristol Rovers W W W D W L

Exeter City W D D L W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Bristol Rovers	Exeter City	1 - 2	April 12, 2025
Exeter City	Bristol Rovers	3 - 1	December 26, 2024
Bristol Rovers	Exeter City	2 - 3	October 29, 2024
Exeter City	Bristol Rovers	0 - 1	February 3, 2024
Bristol Rovers	Exeter City	0 - 1	January 23, 2024
Bristol Rovers	Exeter City	3 - 4	December 29, 2022

Bristol Rovers Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 5, 26	Home	Rotherham	1 - 0	Win
Sep 1, 26	Home	Colchester	2 - 0	Win
Aug 29, 26	Away	Crawley Town	0 - 2	Win
Aug 25, 26	Home	Chelsea U21	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 22, 26	Home	Newport County	5 - 3	Win
Aug 15, 26	Away	York	3 - 2	Loss

Exeter City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 8, 26	Home	Tottenham Hotspur U21	2 - 0	Win
Sep 5, 26	Home	Walsall	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 1, 26	Home	Barnet	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 29, 26	Away	York	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Home	Accrington ST	2 - 0	Win
Aug 15, 26	Away	Grimsby	1 - 0	Loss

League Two Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bristol Rovers	4	3	0	1	11	6	+5	9
15	Exeter City	4	1	1	2	4	4	0	4

Predictions

Bristol Rovers to win

This prediction indicates that Bristol Rovers has a 48.55% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.65 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.0% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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League Two

Match Analysis

Head to Head History

Bristol Rovers Form (Last 6 Matches)

Exeter City Form (Last 6 Matches)

League Two Table

Predictions

Bristol Rovers to win

Over 1.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

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