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Primera Nacional

Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

CA Estudiantes Ferro Carril Oeste
CA Estudiantes L D L D W D
Ferro Carril Oeste W L L W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Ferro Carril Oeste CA Estudiantes 0 - 1 April 12, 2026
Ferro Carril Oeste CA Estudiantes 2 - 2 June 23, 2024
CA Estudiantes Ferro Carril Oeste 1 - 0 February 3, 2024
CA Estudiantes Ferro Carril Oeste 1 - 2 July 9, 2023
Ferro Carril Oeste CA Estudiantes 0 - 2 March 5, 2023
CA Estudiantes Ferro Carril Oeste 1 - 2 June 4, 2022

CA Estudiantes Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Home Deportivo Madryn 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Away Defensores De Belgrano 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home Ciudad de Bolívar 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 17, 26 Away Almirante Brown 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 11, 26 Home Atletico Mitre 3 - 0 Win
Jul 5, 26 Home Racing Cordoba 1 - 1 Draw

Ferro Carril Oeste Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Away Los Andes 1 - 2 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home Godoy Cruz 1 - 3 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Away Deportivo Moron 4 - 0 Loss
Jul 17, 26 Home Colon Santa Fe 2 - 0 Win
Jul 11, 26 Away San Miguel 0 - 1 Win
Jul 5, 26 Home San Telmo 2 - 1 Win

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ferro Carril Oeste 24 14 4 6 28 22 +6 46
17 CA Estudiantes 24 8 8 8 20 20 0 32

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 59.51% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
CA Estudiantes to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that CA Estudiantes has a 36.49% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.40 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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