Cerezo Osaka vs Kagoshima United Wednesday 07th October 2026 12:30 PM football predictions.

Emperor Cup

Cerezo Osaka

Oct. 7, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Kagoshima United

Match Analysis

Cerezo Osaka Kagoshima United

Cerezo Osaka D L D W L W

Kagoshima United W W W W W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Cerezo Osaka Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Away	V-varen Nagasaki	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 12, 26	Away	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	6 - 1	Loss
Sep 6, 26	Home	Tokyo Verdy	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 2, 26	Home	Kashiwa Reysol	2 - 0	Win
Aug 29, 26	Away	Vissel Kobe	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 26, 26	Home	FC Gifu	3 - 1	Win

Kagoshima United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Home	Tochigi SC	3 - 1	Win
Sep 13, 26	Away	Biwako Shiga	1 - 2	Win
Sep 5, 26	Home	FC Ryukyu	2 - 1	Win
Aug 29, 26	Away	Kamatamare Sanuki	3 - 4	Win
Aug 26, 26	Away	Albirex Niigata	0 - 4	Win
Aug 22, 26	Home	FC Gifu	0 - 0	Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.85% likelihood that both Cerezo Osaka and Kagoshima United will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Cerezo Osaka to win

This prediction indicates that Cerezo Osaka has a 54.29% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.22 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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