Cerrito vs Tacuarembo Saturday 10th October 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

Segunda División

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Cerrito View team ›

Oct. 10, 2026 1 week, 1 day ago

2 – 1

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Tacuarembo View team ›

Match Analysis

Cerrito Tacuarembo

Cerrito W L D D L L

Tacuarembo L D D D L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Cerrito is seen as having a modest quality edge over Tacuarembo, but both teams are currently in poor recent form and their past encounters have usually ended in draws with few goals scored. The model predicts a home win with a 48% probability, which is close to what the market odds suggest for this outcome. For the total goals, the model leans toward an Under 1.5 goals outcome, differing from the market which favors over goals at shorter odds.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Competition	Date
Tacuarembo	Cerrito	0 - 0	Segunda División	July 5, 2026
Tacuarembo	Cerrito	1 - 1	Segunda División	March 29, 2026
Cerrito	Tacuarembo	1 - 1	Segunda División	August 24, 2025
Tacuarembo	Cerrito	2 - 0	Segunda División	June 3, 2025
Cerrito	Tacuarembo	3 - 1	Segunda División	November 16, 2024
Tacuarembo	Cerrito	0 - 2	Segunda División	July 27, 2024

Cerrito Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 4, 26	Away	Plaza Colonia	Segunda División	1 - 3	Win
Sep 27, 26	Home	La Luz	Segunda División	1 - 2	Loss
Sep 20, 26	Home	CA River Plate	Segunda División	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 13, 26	Away	Atenas	Segunda División	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 5, 26	Home	Paysandu	Segunda División	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Away	Sportivo Huracan	Segunda División	2 - 1	Loss

Tacuarembo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 3, 26	Home	Atenas	Segunda División	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 28, 26	Away	Paysandu	Segunda División	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 20, 26	Home	Sportivo Huracan	Segunda División	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 12, 26	Away	Uruguay Montevideo	Segunda División	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 6, 26	Home	Oriental	Segunda División	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Away	Colón	Segunda División	1 - 0	Loss

Segunda División Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
7	Cerrito	27	9	11	7	35	32	+3	38
13	Tacuarembo	27	6	9	12	21	32	-11	27

View full table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Plaza Colonia	28	12	9	7	+12	45
2	Oriental	29	12	9	8	+7	45
3	Atenas	28	13	6	9	+6	45
4	Colón	29	12	9	8	+5	45
5	Fenix	30	11	11	8	+9	44
6	Rentistas	28	11	9	8	+3	42
7	Cerrito	28	10	11	7	+4	41
8	La Luz	29	9	11	9	-5	38
9	CA River Plate	28	10	7	11	0	37
10	Sportivo Huracan	29	9	10	10	-6	37
11	Paysandu	29	10	5	14	-3	35
12	Miramar	28	7	10	11	-7	31
13	Tacuarembo	29	6	9	14	-13	27
14	Uruguay Montevideo	28	6	8	14	-12	26

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Cerrito to win

This prediction indicates that Cerrito has a 47.56% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.18 %

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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Segunda División

Oriental vs Uruguay Montevideo 29 minutes ago · 2 a.m. ›

Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Head to Head History

Cerrito Form (Last 6 Matches)

Tacuarembo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Segunda División Table

Predictions

Cerrito to win

Under 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

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