National League - South logo

National League - South
Chelmsford City logo Chelmsford City
Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Maidenhead logo Maidenhead

Match Analysis

Chelmsford City Maidenhead
Chelmsford City D W W L W D
Maidenhead L L D L L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Chelmsford City Maidenhead 1 - 1 April 11, 2026
Maidenhead Chelmsford City 2 - 1 September 6, 2025

Chelmsford City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Away Hemel Hempstead Town 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 14, 26 Away Canvey Island 0 - 1 Win
Jul 11, 26 Away Bishop's Stortford 1 - 3 Win
Apr 25, 26 Home Eastbourne Borough 1 - 3 Loss
Apr 18, 26 Away Chesham United 0 - 2 Win
Apr 14, 26 Away AFC Hornchurch 3 - 3 Draw

Maidenhead Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Away Truro City 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Away Brackley Town 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Away Wimborne Town 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 22, 26 Home Wolves 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Home Southampton U21 1 - 3 Loss
Jul 14, 26 Away Holyport 1 - 4 Win

National League - South Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
10 Chelmsford City 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
19 Maidenhead 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0

Predictions

Chelmsford City to win
This prediction indicates that Chelmsford City has a 45.14% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.09 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.96% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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National League - South

AFC Totton vs Billericay Town 12 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Braintree vs Chesham United 12 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Walton & Hersham vs Maidstone Utd 12 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Farnborough vs Hemel Hempstead Town 12 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Chelmsford City vs Truro City 12 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Weston-super-Mare vs Hampton & Richmond 12 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Maidenhead vs Dorking Wanderers 12 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Dover vs Slough Town 12 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Tonbridge Angels vs Torquay 12 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Horsham vs Salisbury 12 hours from now · 5 p.m. ›