Cheltenham vs Chesterfield Saturday 26th September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

League Two

Cheltenham

Sept. 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Chesterfield

Match Analysis

Cheltenham Chesterfield

Cheltenham D W D L W L

Chesterfield D D L W L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Chesterfield	Cheltenham	1 - 0	April 3, 2026
Cheltenham	Chesterfield	0 - 2	August 9, 2025
Cheltenham	Chesterfield	1 - 0	February 1, 2025
Chesterfield	Cheltenham	1 - 1	September 21, 2024
Cheltenham	Chesterfield	1 - 1	March 17, 2018
Chesterfield	Cheltenham	0 - 2	September 30, 2017

Cheltenham Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 5, 26	Home	Grimsby	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 1, 26	Home	York	3 - 2	Win
Aug 29, 26	Away	Barnet	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 22, 26	Away	Swindon Town	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 15, 26	Home	Rotherham	2 - 1	Win
Aug 8, 26	Home	Charlton	1 - 3	Loss

Chesterfield Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 5, 26	Home	Barnet	3 - 3	Draw
Sep 1, 26	Home	Gillingham	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 29, 26	Away	Rotherham	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Away	Salford City	0 - 1	Win
Aug 15, 26	Home	Fleetwood Town	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 8, 26	Away	Fleetwood Town	1 - 0	Loss

League Two Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Cheltenham	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
16	Chesterfield	4	1	1	2	3	4	-1	4

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.22% likelihood that both Cheltenham and Chesterfield will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Cheltenham or Chesterfield to win

This prediction indicates that Chesterfield has a 40.2% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.28 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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League Two

Match Analysis

Head to Head History

Cheltenham Form (Last 6 Matches)

Chesterfield Form (Last 6 Matches)

League Two Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Cheltenham or Chesterfield to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

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