Chesterfield vs Tranmere Saturday 03rd October 2026 02:30 PM football predictions.

League Two

Chesterfield

Oct. 3, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Tranmere

Match Analysis

Chesterfield Tranmere

Chesterfield W W D D L W

Tranmere L W D D D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Chesterfield	Tranmere	1 - 1	April 11, 2026
Tranmere	Chesterfield	1 - 1	October 25, 2025
Tranmere	Chesterfield	4 - 0	April 5, 2025
Chesterfield	Tranmere	3 - 0	December 7, 2024
Tranmere	Chesterfield	2 - 1	December 1, 2012
Chesterfield	Tranmere	0 - 0	August 14, 2012

Chesterfield Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 15, 26	Home	Manchester City U21	5 - 3	Win
Sep 12, 26	Away	Oldham	1 - 2	Win
Sep 5, 26	Home	Barnet	3 - 3	Draw
Sep 1, 26	Home	Gillingham	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 29, 26	Away	Rotherham	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Away	Salford City	0 - 1	Win

Tranmere Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 12, 26	Away	Gillingham	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Home	Oldham	2 - 0	Win
Sep 1, 26	Home	Rotherham	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 29, 26	Away	Newport County	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 22, 26	Away	Port Vale	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 15, 26	Home	Shrewsbury	2 - 0	Win

League Two Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	Tranmere	5	2	3	0	9	5	+4	9
17	Chesterfield	5	1	2	2	6	7	-1	5

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.51% likelihood that both Chesterfield and Tranmere will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Chesterfield to win

This prediction indicates that Chesterfield has a 54.91% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.49 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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League Two

Match Analysis

Head to Head History

Chesterfield Form (Last 6 Matches)

Tranmere Form (Last 6 Matches)

League Two Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Chesterfield to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

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