Corinthians vs Atletico Paranaense Friday 31st July 2026 01:30 AM football predictions.

Corinthians Atletico Paranaense

Corinthians D W L W D L

Atletico Paranaense L L W W D L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Atletico Paranaense	Corinthians	0 - 1	February 19, 2026
Corinthians	Atletico Paranaense	5 - 2	October 17, 2024
Atletico Paranaense	Corinthians	1 - 1	June 23, 2024
Corinthians	Atletico Paranaense	1 - 0	November 1, 2023
Atletico Paranaense	Corinthians	1 - 0	June 24, 2023
Corinthians	Atletico Paranaense	2 - 1	October 9, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 12, 26	Away	Cascavel	1 - 1	Draw
May 30, 26	Away	Gremio	1 - 3	Win
May 28, 26	Home	Platense	0 - 2	Loss
May 24, 26	Home	Atletico-MG	1 - 0	Win
May 22, 26	Away	Penarol	1 - 1	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Botafogo	3 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Away	RB Bragantino	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 9, 26	Away	Boca Juniors	1 - 0	Loss
May 30, 26	Home	Mirassol	1 - 0	Win
May 24, 26	Away	remo	1 - 2	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Flamengo	1 - 1	Draw
May 10, 26	Away	Vasco DA Gama	1 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Atletico Paranaense	18	9	3	6	24	18	+6	30
9	Corinthians	18	6	6	6	18	19	-1	24

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.28% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Corinthians has a 37.65% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.44 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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