Crewe vs Bristol Rovers Saturday 03rd October 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

League Two

Crewe

Oct. 3, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Bristol Rovers

Match Analysis

Crewe Bristol Rovers

Crewe D D D D L W

Bristol Rovers L W W W D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Bristol Rovers	Crewe	2 - 1	March 7, 2026
Crewe	Bristol Rovers	1 - 1	December 19, 2025
Crewe	Bristol Rovers	2 - 4	December 12, 2023
Bristol Rovers	Crewe	0 - 1	May 1, 2021
Crewe	Bristol Rovers	3 - 2	January 19, 2021
Crewe	Bristol Rovers	3 - 0	April 9, 2012

Crewe Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 12, 26	Away	Colchester	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 5, 26	Home	York	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 1, 26	Home	Walsall	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 29, 26	Away	Port Vale	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 25, 26	Away	Barnsley	3 - 2	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Home	Northampton	1 - 0	Win

Bristol Rovers Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 12, 26	Away	Grimsby	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Home	Rotherham	1 - 0	Win
Sep 1, 26	Home	Colchester	2 - 0	Win
Aug 29, 26	Away	Crawley Town	0 - 2	Win
Aug 25, 26	Home	Chelsea U21	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 22, 26	Home	Newport County	5 - 3	Win

League Two Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bristol Rovers	5	4	0	1	12	6	+6	12
7	Crewe	5	2	3	0	5	3	+2	9

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.8% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Crewe to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Crewe has a 38.15% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.25 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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League Two

Match Analysis

Head to Head History

Crewe Form (Last 6 Matches)

Bristol Rovers Form (Last 6 Matches)

League Two Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

Crewe to win or Draw

Under 1.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

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