Crotone vs Salernitana Saturday 26th September 2026 03:30 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
Serie C - Girone C logo

Serie C - Girone C

Sept. 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Crotone Salernitana
Crotone D L L D D L
Salernitana W D D L W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Crotone Salernitana 0 - 1 March 15, 2026
Salernitana Crotone 0 - 0 November 10, 2025
Crotone Salernitana 1 - 1 July 17, 2020
Salernitana Crotone 3 - 2 December 15, 2019
Salernitana Crotone 0 - 2 March 10, 2019
Crotone Salernitana 1 - 1 October 28, 2018

Crotone Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 5, 26 Home Barletta 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 29, 26 Away Sorrento 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 24, 26 Home Foggia 0 - 1 Loss
May 6, 26 Away Casertana 1 - 1 Draw
May 3, 26 Home Audace Cerignola 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 26, 26 Home Latina 2 - 5 Loss

Salernitana Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 11, 26 Home Potenza 4 - 2 Win
Sep 6, 26 Home Cavese 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 29, 26 Away Foggia 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 24, 26 Home Sorrento 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home Sambiase 2 - 1 Win
May 27, 26 Away Union Brescia 2 - 0 Loss

Serie C - Girone C Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
16 Salernitana 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
18 Crotone 3 0 1 2 2 4 -2 1

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.7% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Crotone to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Crotone has a 38.95% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.06 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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