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Victoria NPL

Aug. 1, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Dandenong Thunder Dandenong City
Dandenong Thunder L W L L L L
Dandenong City L L D W L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Dandenong City Dandenong Thunder 0 - 1 April 24, 2026
Dandenong Thunder Dandenong City 0 - 1 August 30, 2025
Dandenong City Dandenong Thunder 1 - 2 May 30, 2025
Dandenong Thunder Dandenong City 2 - 2 February 22, 2025
Dandenong Thunder Dandenong City 1 - 0 June 22, 2024
Dandenong City Dandenong Thunder 1 - 2 March 15, 2024

Dandenong Thunder Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 17, 26 Away Green Gully 3 - 1 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Home Bentleigh Greens 2 - 1 Win
Jul 5, 26 Away South Melbourne 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 27, 26 Home Hume City 1 - 3 Loss
Jun 20, 26 Away Avondale 11 - 0 Loss
Jun 6, 26 Home Sunshine Georgies 2 - 3 Loss

Dandenong City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 17, 26 Away Bentleigh Greens 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 10, 26 Home South Melbourne 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 4, 26 Away Hume City 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 26, 26 Home Avondale 3 - 1 Win
Jun 20, 26 Away Sunshine Georgies 3 - 2 Loss
Jun 5, 26 Home Heidelberg United 4 - 1 Win

Victoria NPL Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
9 Dandenong City 20 7 5 8 26 27 -1 26
13 Dandenong Thunder 20 4 3 13 22 43 -21 15

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.51% likelihood that both Dandenong Thunder and Dandenong City will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Dandenong City to win
This prediction indicates that Dandenong City has a 50.36% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.32 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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