Major League Soccer
Match Analysis
DC United
Toronto FC
DC United
D
D
L
D
W
W
Toronto FC
L
L
L
D
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto FC | DC United | 2 - 0 | May 10, 2025 |
| DC United | Toronto FC | 2 - 2 | February 23, 2025 |
| Toronto FC | DC United | 1 - 3 | August 31, 2024 |
| DC United | Toronto FC | 2 - 2 | June 1, 2024 |
| Toronto FC | DC United | 2 - 1 | May 27, 2023 |
| DC United | Toronto FC | 3 - 2 | February 26, 2023 |
DC United Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 26 | Home | CF Montreal | 4 - 4 | Draw |
| May 16, 26 | Home | St. Louis City | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 13, 26 | Home | Chicago Fire | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| May 10, 26 | Away | Nashville SC | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 3, 26 | Away | New York City FC | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Apr 25, 26 | Home | Orlando City SC | 3 - 2 | Win |
Toronto FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 26 | Away | Chicago Fire | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 16, 26 | Away | Charlotte | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| May 9, 26 | Home | Inter Miami | 2 - 4 | Loss |
| May 2, 26 | Home | San Jose Earthquakes | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Apr 25, 26 | Home | Atlanta United FC | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Apr 22, 26 | Home | Philadelphia Union | 3 - 3 | Draw |
Major League Soccer Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | DC United | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
| 24 | Toronto FC | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 14 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.37% likelihood that both DC United and Toronto FC will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.DC United or Toronto FC to win
This prediction indicates that DC United has a 40.22% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.18 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.27% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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