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Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron logo Deportivo Moron
Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
San Miguel logo San Miguel

Match Analysis

Deportivo Moron San Miguel
Deportivo Moron W L W D L L
San Miguel L L D L D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
San Miguel Deportivo Moron 2 - 1 April 11, 2026
San Miguel Deportivo Moron 0 - 1 October 19, 2024
Deportivo Moron San Miguel 0 - 1 June 2, 2024

Deportivo Moron Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Home Acassuso 4 - 1 Win
Aug 2, 26 Away Chaco For Ever 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Home Ferro Carril Oeste 4 - 0 Win
Jul 11, 26 Home Deportivo Madryn 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 4, 26 Away Defensores De Belgrano 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 21, 26 Away Ferro Carril Oeste 1 - 0 Loss

San Miguel Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Away Racing Cordoba 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 2, 26 Away San Telmo 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Home Acassuso 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 11, 26 Home Ferro Carril Oeste 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 5, 26 Away Central Norte 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 20, 26 Away Acassuso 0 - 2 Win

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Deportivo Moron 23 12 5 6 37 22 +15 41
27 San Miguel 23 5 11 7 17 23 -6 26

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 59.79% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Deportivo Moron to win
This prediction indicates that Deportivo Moron has a 52.47% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.73 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.42% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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