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Premier Division

June 12, 2026 2 weeks, 3 days ago
4 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Derry City Bohemians
Derry City L D D D L D
Bohemians W L W W W D
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Bohemians Derry City 1 - 1 May 1, 2026
Derry City Bohemians 0 - 1 February 20, 2026
Bohemians Derry City 3 - 4 September 12, 2025
Derry City Bohemians 1 - 1 July 25, 2025
Bohemians Derry City 1 - 0 May 30, 2025
Derry City Bohemians 1 - 0 February 21, 2025

Derry City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 29, 26 Away Dundalk 2 - 1 Loss
May 25, 26 Home Shelbourne 0 - 0 Draw
May 22, 26 Home St Patrick's Athl. 0 - 0 Draw
May 15, 26 Away Waterford 2 - 2 Draw
May 8, 26 Away Drogheda United 1 - 0 Loss
May 4, 26 Home Galway United 1 - 1 Draw

Bohemians Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 29, 26 Away Sligo Rovers 1 - 3 Win
May 25, 26 Home Shamrock Rovers 1 - 2 Loss
May 22, 26 Away Galway United 2 - 4 Win
May 15, 26 Home Drogheda United 2 - 1 Win
May 8, 26 Away Dundalk 1 - 3 Win
May 4, 26 Home Shelbourne 2 - 2 Draw

Premier Division Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Bohemians 20 9 7 4 31 21 +10 34
6 Derry City 20 4 10 6 22 23 -1 22

Predictions

Bohemians to win
This prediction indicates that Bohemians has a 45.41% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.51 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.78% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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