Doncaster vs Burton Albion Saturday 10th October 2026 05:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Oct. 10, 2026 4 days, 10 hours ago
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Match Analysis

Doncaster Burton Albion
Doncaster W W L L L D
Burton Albion D L W D D L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Historically, Doncaster has had the upper hand in games between these two teams. The model predicts a home win with a 57% probability, which is notably more confident than the market odds suggest. Additionally, the model sees a 52% chance that both teams will score and that there will be more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals in the match, aligning closely with the market's view on these aspects.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Burton Albion Doncaster 1 - 2 February 3, 2026
Doncaster Burton Albion 1 - 1 October 4, 2025
Doncaster Burton Albion 2 - 1 November 7, 2023
Doncaster Burton Albion 2 - 0 April 23, 2022
Burton Albion Doncaster 2 - 0 November 27, 2021
Doncaster Burton Albion 0 - 3 April 13, 2021

Doncaster Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 6, 26 Home Liverpool U21 1 - 0 Win
Sep 19, 26 Away Peterborough 0 - 2 Win
Sep 12, 26 Away AFC Wimbledon 1 - 0 Loss
Sep 8, 26 Home Huddersfield 1 - 3 Loss
Sep 5, 26 Home Plymouth 2 - 3 Loss
Sep 1, 26 Home Notts County 1 - 1 Draw

Burton Albion Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 6, 26 Home Grimsby 0 - 0 Draw
Oct 3, 26 Home Huddersfield 1 - 3 Loss
Sep 26, 26 Away Plymouth 0 - 1 Win
Sep 22, 26 Home Nottingham Forest U21 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 19, 26 Home Mansfield Town 2 - 2 Draw
Sep 12, 26 Away Oxford United 3 - 0 Loss

League One Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
8 Burton Albion 9 3 3 3 14 15 -1 12
21 Doncaster 7 1 3 3 8 9 -1 6

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.29% likelihood that both Doncaster and Burton Albion will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Doncaster to win
This prediction indicates that Doncaster has a 56.91% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.89 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.58% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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