Dordrecht vs Excelsior Saturday 11th July 2026 03:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Dordrecht Excelsior

Dordrecht W L L W D L

Excelsior W D W W D L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Dordrecht	Excelsior	2 - 2	July 19, 2025
Excelsior	Dordrecht	1 - 0	January 10, 2025
Dordrecht	Excelsior	2 - 2	September 20, 2024
Excelsior	Dordrecht	3 - 2	July 16, 2022
Dordrecht	Excelsior	1 - 1	December 18, 2021
Excelsior	Dordrecht	3 - 1	September 10, 2021

Dordrecht Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Schalke 04 II	3 - 0	Win
Apr 24, 26	Home	Willem II	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 17, 26	Away	Almere City FC	4 - 1	Loss
Apr 12, 26	Home	ADO Den Haag	1 - 0	Win
Apr 6, 26	Away	Cambuur	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 3, 26	Home	Roda	0 - 3	Loss

Excelsior Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 17, 26	Away	Sparta Rotterdam	2 - 3	Win
May 10, 26	Home	FC Volendam	1 - 1	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Groningen	2 - 3	Win
Apr 26, 26	Home	Utrecht	5 - 0	Win
Apr 12, 26	Away	PEC Zwolle	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 4, 26	Home	NEC Nijmegen	0 - 2	Loss

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
975	Dordrecht	1	1	0	0	3	0	+3	3
1647	Excelsior	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.22% likelihood that both Dordrecht and Excelsior will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Excelsior to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Excelsior has a 41.68% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.00 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.7% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.96% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs