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J3 League
Ehime FC logo Ehime FC
Sept. 5, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Kitakyushu logo Kitakyushu

Match Analysis

Ehime FC Kitakyushu
Ehime FC W W W L L L
Kitakyushu D D L W D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Ehime FC Kitakyushu 1 - 0 October 15, 2023
Kitakyushu Ehime FC 0 - 1 June 3, 2023
Ehime FC Kitakyushu 1 - 1 October 16, 2022
Kitakyushu Ehime FC 0 - 0 April 17, 2022
Ehime FC Kitakyushu 2 - 2 August 15, 2021
Kitakyushu Ehime FC 0 - 2 June 20, 2021

Ehime FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 19, 26 Home Pacific University 2 - 1 Win
Aug 16, 26 Home Gainare Tottori 4 - 0 Win
Aug 9, 26 Home Nara Club 4 - 1 Win
Jun 6, 26 Away Fujieda MYFC 1 - 0 Loss
May 30, 26 Home Roasso Kumamoto 0 - 1 Loss
May 23, 26 Away Albirex Niigata 2 - 1 Loss

Kitakyushu Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 19, 26 Home Okinawa SV 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 15, 26 Home Kamatamare Sanuki 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 18, 26 Away Yokohama FC 3 - 2 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Away Avispa Fukuoka 1 - 2 Win
Jun 7, 26 Away Tochigi SC 1 - 1 Draw
May 31, 26 Away Kamatamare Sanuki 3 - 1 Loss

J3 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Ehime FC 1 1 0 0 4 1 +3 3
13 Kitakyushu 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.99% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Ehime FC to win
This prediction indicates that Ehime FC has a 49.44% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.77 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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