Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts Saturday 15th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Elgin City Kelty Hearts

Elgin City L L L L W W

Kelty Hearts L W L D L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

POSSESSION

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Elgin City	Kelty Hearts	3 - 2	November 30, 2024
Kelty Hearts	Elgin City	3 - 1	September 7, 2024
Elgin City	Kelty Hearts	1 - 1	July 16, 2024
Elgin City	Kelty Hearts	0 - 0	March 19, 2022
Kelty Hearts	Elgin City	4 - 0	February 5, 2022
Elgin City	Kelty Hearts	2 - 0	January 25, 2022

Elgin City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Hamilton Academical	5 - 0	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Kilmarnock	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 14, 26	Home	Peterhead	1 - 3	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Away	Raith Rovers	3 - 1	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Away	Johnstone Burgh	2 - 3	Win
Jun 30, 26	Away	Nairn County	0 - 6	Win

Kelty Hearts Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Aberdeen	3 - 0	Loss
Jul 21, 26	Home	Brora Rangers	3 - 2	Win
Jul 14, 26	Home	Queen's Park	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Away	Queen of the South	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Home	Dunfermline	0 - 3	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Away	East Kilbride	4 - 0	Loss

League Two Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Kelty Hearts	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Elgin City	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.82% likelihood that both Elgin City and Kelty Hearts will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Elgin City to win

This prediction indicates that Elgin City has a 44.53% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.99 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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