Bayreuth vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Sunday 05th July 2026 02:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Bayreuth SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Bayreuth W D L W W L

SpVgg Greuther Fürth W L W L D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
SpVgg Greuther Fürth	Bayreuth	4 - 2	July 2, 2024

Bayreuth Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	ASV Neumarkt	5 - 0	Win
Feb 22, 26	Away	FC Schweinfurt 05	1 - 1	Draw
Feb 14, 26	Away	Ansbach	2 - 0	Loss
Jan 31, 26	Home	ASV Neumarkt	5 - 1	Win
Jan 24, 26	Home	Gebenbach	1 - 0	Win
Jul 16, 25	Home	Chemnitzer FC	1 - 3	Loss

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 26, 26	Home	Rot-Weiß Essen	2 - 0	Win
May 22, 26	Away	Rot-Weiß Essen	1 - 0	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3 - 0	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Hertha BSC	2 - 1	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	FC Nurnberg	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Away	VfL Bochum	2 - 1	Loss

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
261	Bayreuth	5	3	1	1	12	4	+8	10
999	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	3	1	0	2	5	3	+2	3

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.2% likelihood that both Bayreuth and SpVgg Greuther Fürth will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Bayreuth to win

This prediction indicates that Bayreuth has a 64.7% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.92 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 81.58% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 71.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs