Monarcas vs Cruz Azul Sunday 05th July 2026 03:30 AM football predictions.

Monarcas Cruz Azul

Monarcas L W W W W L

Cruz Azul W D W D W W

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Monarcas	Cruz Azul	2 - 4	February 29, 2020
Cruz Azul	Monarcas	2 - 3	October 19, 2019
Cruz Azul	Monarcas	1 - 1	May 4, 2019
Monarcas	Cruz Azul	0 - 2	November 24, 2018
Cruz Azul	Monarcas	2 - 0	April 21, 2018
Monarcas	Cruz Azul	1 - 2	November 4, 2017

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 20, 26	Away	Necaxa	1 - 0	Loss
Jan 23, 24	Away	Colorado Rapids	1 - 3	Win
Jul 8, 23	Home	Tepatitlán	1 - 0	Win
Oct 10, 21	Home	Atlante FC	1 - 0	Win
Jul 14, 21	Home	CS Herediano	3 - 0	Win
Jul 8, 21	Home	Tepatitlán	2 - 3	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 25, 26	Away	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	1 - 2	Win
May 22, 26	Home	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	0 - 0	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Guadalajara Chivas	1 - 2	Win
May 14, 26	Home	Guadalajara Chivas	2 - 2	Draw
May 10, 26	Home	Atlas	1 - 0	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Atlas	2 - 3	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
991	Cruz Azul	2	1	0	1	4	2	+2	3
2373	Monarcas	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 58.12% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Cruz Azul has a 45.76% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.34 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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