Bergisch Gladbach vs SSVg Velbert Sunday 05th July 2026 02:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Bergisch Gladbach SSVg Velbert

Bergisch Gladbach W L L W D L

SSVg Velbert W W W W W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Bergisch Gladbach	SSVg Velbert	1 - 1	July 23, 2022
SSVg Velbert	Bergisch Gladbach	1 - 3	August 1, 2021

Bergisch Gladbach Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jan 18, 26	Away	SF Baumberg	3 - 4	Win
Aug 7, 24	Away	Germania Ratingen	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 17, 24	Home	FC Viktoria Köln	0 - 1	Loss
Feb 10, 24	Home	SF Baumberg	5 - 3	Win
Jan 24, 24	Away	Pesch	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 6, 23	Home	1.FC Köln	0 - 6	Loss

SSVg Velbert Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 16, 25	Home	SGS Essen	4 - 0	Win
Jul 9, 25	Away	TuRU 1880 Düsseldorf	0 - 4	Win
Jan 25, 25	Away	Bonner SC	1 - 2	Win
Aug 2, 24	Home	Bonner SC	5 - 2	Win
Jul 24, 24	Away	TuRU 1880 Düsseldorf	1 - 3	Win
Jul 17, 24	Home	Wuppertaler SV	2 - 1	Win

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1068	Bergisch Gladbach	1	1	0	0	4	3	+1	3
1647	SSVg Velbert	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.66% likelihood that both Bergisch Gladbach and SSVg Velbert will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

SSVg Velbert to win

This prediction indicates that SSVg Velbert has a 54.16% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.15 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 77.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 73.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs