Exeter City vs Oxford United Tuesday 06th October 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

EFL Trophy

Oct. 6, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Exeter City Oxford United

Exeter City D L W D D L

Oxford United D W W L W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Exeter City	Oxford United	3 - 1	January 11, 2025
Oxford United	Exeter City	0 - 1	July 24, 2024
Exeter City	Oxford United	1 - 2	April 27, 2024
Oxford United	Exeter City	3 - 0	September 23, 2023
Oxford United	Exeter City	0 - 1	January 1, 2023
Oxford United	Exeter City	4 - 1	November 26, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Home	Tranmere	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 12, 26	Away	Port Vale	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 8, 26	Home	Tottenham Hotspur U21	2 - 0	Win
Sep 5, 26	Home	Walsall	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 1, 26	Home	Barnet	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 29, 26	Away	York	2 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Home	Cambridge United	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 12, 26	Home	Burton Albion	3 - 0	Win
Sep 5, 26	Away	Leicester	0 - 4	Win
Sep 1, 26	Away	Huddersfield	3 - 1	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Away	Stevenage	1 - 2	Win
Aug 15, 26	Home	Milton Keynes Dons	2 - 2	Draw

This prediction indicates that Exeter City has a 37.12% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.61 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.9% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed

[[ comment.user.username ]]

[[ comment.comment ]]

[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply