Newport County vs Swindon Town Tuesday 22nd September 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

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Newport County

Sept. 22, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Swindon Town

Match Analysis

Newport County Swindon Town

Newport County L L D L W D

Swindon Town W W L W D L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Swindon Town	Newport County	2 - 0	February 11, 2026
Newport County	Swindon Town	0 - 1	October 4, 2025
Newport County	Swindon Town	1 - 2	January 24, 2025
Swindon Town	Newport County	4 - 0	September 14, 2024
Newport County	Swindon Town	2 - 1	February 3, 2024
Swindon Town	Newport County	2 - 0	October 14, 2023

Newport County Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 5, 26	Away	Northampton	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 1, 26	Away	Salford City	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Home	Tranmere	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 22, 26	Away	Bristol Rovers	5 - 3	Loss
Aug 15, 26	Home	Rochdale	3 - 0	Win
Aug 8, 26	Away	AFC Wimbledon	1 - 1	Draw

Swindon Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 5, 26	Home	Colchester	3 - 1	Win
Sep 1, 26	Home	Port Vale	3 - 1	Win
Aug 29, 26	Away	Oldham	3 - 0	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Home	Cheltenham	2 - 1	Win
Aug 15, 26	Away	Northampton	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 8, 26	Away	Cardiff	3 - 2	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.7% likelihood that both Newport County and Swindon Town will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Swindon Town to win

This prediction indicates that Swindon Town has a 42.98% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.02 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.0% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Match Analysis

Head to Head History

Newport County Form (Last 6 Matches)

Swindon Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Swindon Town to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

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