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Sept. 22, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Chesterfield Port Vale
Chesterfield D D L W L L
Port Vale L L D D L L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Chesterfield Port Vale 1 - 1 January 25, 2025
Port Vale Chesterfield 1 - 0 September 14, 2024
Chesterfield Port Vale 0 - 1 July 31, 2021
Port Vale Chesterfield 2 - 1 March 30, 2018
Chesterfield Port Vale 2 - 0 August 19, 2017
Chesterfield Port Vale 1 - 0 April 8, 2017

Chesterfield Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 5, 26 Home Barnet 3 - 3 Draw
Sep 1, 26 Home Gillingham 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 29, 26 Away Rotherham 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Away Salford City 0 - 1 Win
Aug 15, 26 Home Fleetwood Town 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Away Fleetwood Town 1 - 0 Loss

Port Vale Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 5, 26 Away Salford City 1 - 0 Loss
Sep 1, 26 Away Swindon Town 3 - 1 Loss
Aug 29, 26 Home Crewe 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 22, 26 Home Tranmere 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 15, 26 Away Oldham 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 7, 26 Away Wolves 3 - 0 Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.14% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Chesterfield to win
This prediction indicates that Chesterfield has a 42.19% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.82 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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