Accrington ST vs Sunderland U21 Tuesday 22nd September 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

EFL Trophy

Sept. 22, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Accrington ST Sunderland U21

Accrington ST W D L L D L

Sunderland U21 D D D L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 5, 26	Home	Crawley Town	3 - 2	Win
Sep 1, 26	Home	Grimsby	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 29, 26	Away	Walsall	3 - 2	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Away	Exeter City	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 15, 26	Home	Colchester	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 8, 26	Away	Crewe	2 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Away	South Shields	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 28, 23	Away	Hebburn Town	1 - 1	Draw
Nov 8, 17	Away	Grimsby	1 - 1	Draw
Oct 3, 17	Away	Doncaster	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 29, 17	Away	Scunthorpe	3 - 1	Loss

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.49% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Accrington ST has a 43.29% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.66 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed

[[ comment.user.username ]]

[[ comment.comment ]]

[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply