Fagiano Okayama vs JEF United Chiba Wednesday 07th October 2026 01:00 PM football predictions.

Emperor Cup

Oct. 7, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Fagiano Okayama JEF United Chiba

Fagiano Okayama L W W W L W

JEF United Chiba L D W L L D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
JEF United Chiba	Fagiano Okayama	1 - 2	September 2, 2026
Fagiano Okayama	JEF United Chiba	0 - 0	August 10, 2024
JEF United Chiba	Fagiano Okayama	2 - 1	June 1, 2024
Fagiano Okayama	JEF United Chiba	0 - 5	October 1, 2023
JEF United Chiba	Fagiano Okayama	1 - 1	March 25, 2023
Fagiano Okayama	JEF United Chiba	1 - 1	July 30, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Home	Kyoto Sanga	1 - 2	Loss
Sep 13, 26	Away	Urawa	1 - 2	Win
Sep 6, 26	Home	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3 - 2	Win
Sep 2, 26	Away	JEF United Chiba	1 - 2	Win
Aug 29, 26	Away	Nagoya Grampus	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 26, 26	Home	Beluga Rosso Iwami	3 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Away	Shimizu S-pulse	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 13, 26	Away	Tokyo Verdy	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 6, 26	Home	Gamba Osaka	2 - 0	Win
Sep 2, 26	Home	Fagiano Okayama	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Away	Kawasaki Frontale	4 - 2	Loss
Aug 26, 26	Home	Azul Claro Numazu	0 - 0	Draw

This prediction indicates that Fagiano Okayama has a 50.36% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.23 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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