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National League - South

Sept. 12, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Farnborough Dover
Farnborough D W L W W D
Dover W L W L D D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Dover Farnborough 1 - 3 April 11, 2026
Farnborough Dover 4 - 1 September 13, 2025
Farnborough Dover 1 - 2 September 6, 2025
Dover Farnborough 1 - 3 March 23, 2024
Farnborough Dover 4 - 0 October 28, 2023
Farnborough Dover 3 - 0 April 22, 2023

Farnborough Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Away Maidenhead 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 19, 26 Home Chesham United 1 - 0 Win
Aug 15, 26 Home Hemel Hempstead Town 0 - 2 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Away Maidstone Utd 1 - 2 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home Bath City 3 - 0 Win
Jul 29, 26 Home Portsmouth 1 - 1 Draw

Dover Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Away Weston-super-Mare 2 - 3 Win
Aug 18, 26 Home Tonbridge Angels 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Home Slough Town 5 - 3 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away Billericay Town 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Home Carshalton Athletic 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 28, 26 Home Herne Bay 2 - 2 Draw

National League - South Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Farnborough 3 2 0 1 3 3 0 6
16 Dover 3 1 0 2 5 6 -1 3

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.72% likelihood that both Farnborough and Dover will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Farnborough to win
This prediction indicates that Farnborough has a 52.22% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.34 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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