National League - South logo

National League - South
Hemel Hempstead Town logo Hemel Hempstead Town
Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Weston-super-Mare logo Weston-super-Mare

Match Analysis

Hemel Hempstead Town Weston-super-Mare
Hemel Hempstead Town D D L L D D
Weston-super-Mare W L L W L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Hemel Hempstead Town Weston-super-Mare 1 - 1 April 28, 2026
Weston-super-Mare Hemel Hempstead Town 0 - 0 March 31, 2026
Hemel Hempstead Town Weston-super-Mare 3 - 0 November 4, 2025
Weston-super-Mare Hemel Hempstead Town 1 - 1 February 1, 2025
Hemel Hempstead Town Weston-super-Mare 0 - 1 November 11, 2024
Hemel Hempstead Town Weston-super-Mare 1 - 2 February 17, 2024

Hemel Hempstead Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Home Chelmsford City 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Away St Albans City 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 18, 26 Away Wealdstone 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Home Barnet 1 - 2 Loss
Apr 28, 26 Home Weston-super-Mare 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 25, 26 Home Salisbury 1 - 1 Draw

Weston-super-Mare Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Home Chesham United 3 - 0 Win
Jul 31, 26 Home Gloucester City 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Exeter City 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 21, 26 Away Taunton Town 0 - 4 Win
Jul 18, 26 Home Torquay 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 10, 26 Away Clevedon Town 1 - 1 Draw

National League - South Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Weston-super-Mare 1 1 0 0 3 0 +3 3
10 Hemel Hempstead Town 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.54% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Hemel Hempstead Town to win
This prediction indicates that Hemel Hempstead Town has a 41.45% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.91 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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National League - South

AFC Totton vs Billericay Town 12 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Braintree vs Chesham United 12 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Walton & Hersham vs Maidstone Utd 12 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Farnborough vs Hemel Hempstead Town 12 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Chelmsford City vs Truro City 12 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Weston-super-Mare vs Hampton & Richmond 12 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Maidenhead vs Dorking Wanderers 12 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Dover vs Slough Town 12 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Tonbridge Angels vs Torquay 12 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Horsham vs Salisbury 12 hours from now · 5 p.m. ›