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National League - South

Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Horsham Farnham Town
Horsham D L L L W W
Farnham Town L L W D D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Horsham Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Away Torquay 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Away Worthing 3 - 0 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Away Sutton Utd 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Away Eastbourne Town 3 - 0 Loss
Jul 10, 26 Home Eastleigh 3 - 2 Win
Apr 25, 26 Home Chippenham Town 3 - 2 Win

Farnham Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 14, 26 Away Dagenham & Redbridge 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home AFC Totton 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Home Eastleigh 1 - 0 Win
Jul 28, 26 Home Yeovil Town 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Away Rochdale 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 21, 26 Home Wycombe 2 - 1 Win

National League - South Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
10 Horsham 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
17 Farnham Town 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0

Predictions

Horsham or Farnham Town to win
This prediction indicates that Horsham has a 39.28% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.07 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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