Primera División
Match Analysis
FBC Melgar
ADT
FBC Melgar
W
L
D
W
W
D
ADT
D
D
L
L
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| ADT | FBC Melgar | 1 - 1 | March 20, 2026 |
| ADT | FBC Melgar | 2 - 2 | August 24, 2025 |
| FBC Melgar | ADT | 4 - 0 | April 5, 2025 |
| ADT | FBC Melgar | 1 - 1 | August 16, 2024 |
| FBC Melgar | ADT | 3 - 1 | March 9, 2024 |
| FBC Melgar | ADT | 4 - 0 | June 22, 2023 |
FBC Melgar Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Cultural Santa Rosa | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | FC Cajamarca | 2 - 4 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | UCV Moquegua | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Sporting Cristal | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Cienciano | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jun 18, 26 | Away | LDU de Quito | 0 - 0 | Draw |
ADT Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Alianza Atletico | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | UTC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Deportivo Garcilaso | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Sport Boys | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Universitario | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| May 30, 26 | Home | Cusco | 1 - 2 | Loss |
Primera División Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 39 | 26 | +13 | 38 |
| 14 | ADT | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 22 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.16% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.FBC Melgar to win
This prediction indicates that FBC Melgar has a 60.81% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.07 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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