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J1 League
FC Tokyo logo FC Tokyo
Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Nagoya Grampus logo Nagoya Grampus

Match Analysis

FC Tokyo Nagoya Grampus
FC Tokyo D W W W D L
Nagoya Grampus L W L W L L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
FC Tokyo Nagoya Grampus 2 - 1 July 21, 2026
Nagoya Grampus FC Tokyo 1 - 1 August 31, 2025
FC Tokyo Nagoya Grampus 3 - 1 February 26, 2025
FC Tokyo Nagoya Grampus 4 - 1 September 14, 2024
Nagoya Grampus FC Tokyo 3 - 1 May 15, 2024
FC Tokyo Nagoya Grampus 2 - 0 June 24, 2023

FC Tokyo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 2, 26 Away Shimizu S-pulse 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 29, 26 Away V-varen Nagasaki 0 - 3 Win
Aug 26, 26 Home Parceiro Nagano 6 - 0 Win
Aug 21, 26 Home JEF United Chiba 2 - 0 Win
Aug 15, 26 Away Vissel Kobe 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Home Machida Zelvia 1 - 5 Loss

Nagoya Grampus Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 2, 26 Away Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3 - 0 Loss
Aug 29, 26 Home Fagiano Okayama 2 - 1 Win
Aug 26, 26 Home Gainare Tottori 1 - 3 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Home Gamba Osaka 3 - 1 Win
Aug 15, 26 Away Kashima 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home Shimizu S-pulse 0 - 1 Loss

J1 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 FC Tokyo 4 2 1 1 8 7 +1 7
8 Nagoya Grampus 4 2 0 2 6 5 +1 6

Predictions

FC Tokyo to win
This prediction indicates that FC Tokyo has a 51.61% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.03 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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