Challenge League
Match Analysis
FC Winterthur
FC Aarau
FC Winterthur
D
D
W
W
L
D
FC Aarau
D
W
L
W
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Winterthur | FC Aarau | 2 - 0 | July 8, 2023 |
| FC Aarau | FC Winterthur | 0 - 3 | April 8, 2022 |
| FC Winterthur | FC Aarau | 4 - 2 | March 11, 2022 |
| FC Aarau | FC Winterthur | 2 - 0 | December 3, 2021 |
| FC Winterthur | FC Aarau | 0 - 0 | September 24, 2021 |
| FC Winterthur | FC Aarau | 3 - 3 | April 23, 2021 |
FC Winterthur Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 26 | Away | Stade Nyonnais | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 28, 26 | Home | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 21, 26 | Away | Rapperswil | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | FC WIL 1900 | 5 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | SC Kriens | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | Yverdon Sport | 2 - 2 | Draw |
FC Aarau Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 26 | Away | FC WIL 1900 | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 28, 26 | Home | Neuchatel Xamax FC | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Yverdon Sport | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Stade Nyonnais | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | Étoile Carouge | 3 - 0 | Loss |
Challenge League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | FC Winterthur | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 8 |
| 7 | FC Aarau | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 8 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.61% likelihood that both FC Winterthur and FC Aarau will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.FC Winterthur to win
This prediction indicates that FC Winterthur has a 43.13% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.30 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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