Liga I
Match Analysis
FCSB
Farul Constanta
FCSB
L
W
L
W
L
D
Farul Constanta
W
L
L
W
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts FCSB to win with a 56% probability, which aligns closely with the market odds that also favor FCSB. The model sees a clear quality gap favoring FCSB and notes that FCSB has dominated recent meetings, often with many goals scored. Additionally, the model expects both teams to score and for the match to have more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals, reflecting the recent trend of high-scoring games between these sides, despite Farul Constanta's rest advantage.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Farul Constanta | FCSB | 2 - 3 | April 20, 2026 |
| Farul Constanta | FCSB | 1 - 2 | November 30, 2025 |
| FCSB | Farul Constanta | 1 - 2 | July 26, 2025 |
| Farul Constanta | FCSB | 1 - 1 | December 15, 2024 |
| FCSB | Farul Constanta | 3 - 2 | August 9, 2024 |
| FCSB | Farul Constanta | 2 - 1 | April 27, 2024 |
FCSB Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | Auda | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Csikszereda | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Auda | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | Arges Pitesti | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 5, 26 | Away | Union St. Gilloise | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| May 29, 26 | Away | Dinamo Bucuresti | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Farul Constanta Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Corvinul Hunedoara | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 19, 26 | Away | Universitatea Cluj | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | FC Voluntari | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Dinamo Bucuresti | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 8, 26 | Home | Cherno More Varna | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 3, 26 | Home | Oţelul | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Liga I Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FCSB | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 11 | Farul Constanta | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.22% likelihood that both FCSB and Farul Constanta will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.FCSB to win
This prediction indicates that FCSB has a 55.93% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.97 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.7% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Top Picks
Subscribe to unlock top picks
View plans
Odds Comparison
Subscribe to compare bookmaker odds
View plans
Comments