Fenix vs Paysandu Saturday 17th October 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

Segunda División

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Fenix View team ›

Oct. 17, 2026 1 day, 6 hours ago

0 – 1

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Paysandu View team ›

Match Analysis

Fenix Paysandu

Fenix D W L D W L

Paysandu W L D D L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts a home win for Fenix with a 68% probability. Fenix has a modest quality edge and moderate recent form, while Paysandu are coming in with poor recent form. The market odds also favor Fenix, suggesting a similar level of confidence in a home win. Additionally, the model sees a slight edge toward 'over' for both the 1.5 and 2.5 goal lines, though the market is more split on these outcomes.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Competition	Date
Paysandu	Fenix	1 - 0	Segunda División	July 13, 2026

Fenix Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 11, 26	Away	Sportivo Huracan	Segunda División	0 - 0	Draw
Oct 4, 26	Home	Uruguay Montevideo	Segunda División	2 - 0	Win
Sep 26, 26	Away	Oriental	Segunda División	3 - 2	Loss
Sep 19, 26	Home	Colón	Segunda División	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 13, 26	Away	CA River Plate	Segunda División	0 - 1	Win
Sep 6, 26	Away	Rentistas	Segunda División	2 - 1	Loss

Paysandu Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 10, 26	Home	Rentistas	Segunda División	2 - 1	Win
Oct 3, 26	Away	Miramar	Segunda División	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 28, 26	Home	Tacuarembo	Segunda División	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 19, 26	Away	Plaza Colonia	Segunda División	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 12, 26	Home	La Luz	Segunda División	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Away	Cerrito	Segunda División	1 - 2	Win

Segunda División Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Fenix	29	11	11	7	41	31	+10	44
11	Paysandu	28	9	5	14	32	36	-4	32

View full table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Plaza Colonia	28	12	9	7	+12	45
2	Oriental	29	12	9	8	+7	45
3	Atenas	28	13	6	9	+6	45
4	Colón	29	12	9	8	+5	45
5	Fenix	30	11	11	8	+9	44
6	Rentistas	28	11	9	8	+3	42
7	Cerrito	28	10	11	7	+4	41
8	La Luz	29	9	11	9	-5	38
9	CA River Plate	28	10	7	11	0	37
10	Sportivo Huracan	29	9	10	10	-6	37
11	Paysandu	29	10	5	14	-3	35
12	Miramar	28	7	10	11	-7	31
13	Tacuarembo	29	6	9	14	-13	27
14	Uruguay Montevideo	28	6	8	14	-12	26

Predictions

Fenix to win

This prediction indicates that Fenix has a 68.02% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.70 %

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.36% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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Segunda División

Oriental vs Uruguay Montevideo 29 minutes ago · 2 a.m. ›

Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Head to Head History

Fenix Form (Last 6 Matches)

Paysandu Form (Last 6 Matches)

Segunda División Table

Predictions

Fenix to win

Over 2.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

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