Fenix vs Uruguay Montevideo Sunday 04th October 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Segunda División

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Fenix View team ›

Oct. 4, 2026 2 weeks ago

2 – 0

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Uruguay Montevideo View team ›

Match Analysis

Fenix Uruguay Montevideo

Fenix L D W L D W

Uruguay Montevideo L L D L D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Fenix is seen as the stronger side heading into the match, with a clear quality gap in their favor and a history of dominating recent meetings against Uruguay Montevideo. However, both teams are currently in poor recent form, and Uruguay Montevideo has had defensive issues lately. The model predicts a home win with a 59% probability, which is notably higher than what the market odds imply. The model also sees the game ending with under 1.5 goals and no goals from both teams, aligning with the under and "no" market odds, respectively.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Competition	Date
Uruguay Montevideo	Fenix	3 - 2	Segunda División	June 27, 2026
Uruguay Montevideo	Fenix	1 - 1	Segunda División	March 15, 2026
Uruguay Montevideo	Fenix	0 - 1	Segunda División	August 24, 2025
Fenix	Uruguay Montevideo	2 - 0	Segunda División	June 4, 2025

Fenix Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Sep 26, 26	Away	Oriental	Segunda División	3 - 2	Loss
Sep 19, 26	Home	Colón	Segunda División	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 13, 26	Away	CA River Plate	Segunda División	0 - 1	Win
Sep 6, 26	Away	Rentistas	Segunda División	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 30, 26	Home	Miramar	Segunda División	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 22, 26	Away	Tacuarembo	Segunda División	0 - 2	Win

Uruguay Montevideo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Sep 26, 26	Home	Rentistas	Segunda División	1 - 3	Loss
Sep 19, 26	Away	Miramar	Segunda División	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 12, 26	Home	Tacuarembo	Segunda División	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 7, 26	Away	Plaza Colonia	Segunda División	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Home	La Luz	Segunda División	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 22, 26	Away	Cerrito	Segunda División	3 - 0	Loss

Segunda División Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Fenix	27	10	10	7	39	31	+8	40
14	Uruguay Montevideo	26	6	8	12	26	34	-8	26

View full table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Plaza Colonia	28	12	9	7	+12	45
2	Oriental	29	12	9	8	+7	45
3	Atenas	28	13	6	9	+6	45
4	Colón	29	12	9	8	+5	45
5	Fenix	30	11	11	8	+9	44
6	Rentistas	28	11	9	8	+3	42
7	Cerrito	28	10	11	7	+4	41
8	La Luz	29	9	11	9	-5	38
9	CA River Plate	28	10	7	11	0	37
10	Sportivo Huracan	29	9	10	10	-6	37
11	Paysandu	29	10	5	14	-3	35
12	Miramar	28	7	10	11	-7	31
13	Tacuarembo	29	6	9	14	-13	27
14	Uruguay Montevideo	28	6	8	14	-12	26

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Fenix to win

This prediction indicates that Fenix has a 58.82% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.64 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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Segunda División

Oriental vs Uruguay Montevideo an hour from now · 2 a.m. ›

Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Head to Head History

Fenix Form (Last 6 Matches)

Uruguay Montevideo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Segunda División Table

Predictions

Fenix to win

Under 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

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