Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale Saturday 26th September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

League Two

Fleetwood Town

Sept. 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Rochdale

Match Analysis

Fleetwood Town Rochdale

Fleetwood Town W D D W D W

Rochdale L W L L L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Fleetwood Town	Rochdale	1 - 1	July 20, 2024
Rochdale	Fleetwood Town	3 - 3	July 17, 2021
Fleetwood Town	Rochdale	1 - 0	April 10, 2021
Rochdale	Fleetwood Town	2 - 1	October 3, 2020
Rochdale	Fleetwood Town	2 - 3	December 26, 2019
Fleetwood Town	Rochdale	2 - 1	September 21, 2019

Fleetwood Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 5, 26	Home	Shrewsbury	2 - 0	Win
Sep 1, 26	Home	Oldham	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 29, 26	Away	Grimsby	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 25, 26	Home	Shrewsbury	4 - 0	Win
Aug 22, 26	Home	Gillingham	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 15, 26	Away	Chesterfield	0 - 1	Win

Rochdale Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 5, 26	Home	Gillingham	1 - 4	Loss
Sep 1, 26	Home	Shrewsbury	3 - 0	Win
Aug 29, 26	Away	Colchester	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Home	Crawley Town	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 15, 26	Away	Newport County	3 - 0	Loss
Aug 8, 26	Away	Bradford	2 - 0	Loss

League Two Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
12	Fleetwood Town	4	1	3	0	4	3	+1	6
19	Rochdale	4	1	0	3	4	6	-2	3

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.69% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Fleetwood Town to win

This prediction indicates that Fleetwood Town has a 51.26% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.21 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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League Two

Match Analysis

Head to Head History

Fleetwood Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Rochdale Form (Last 6 Matches)

League Two Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

Fleetwood Town to win

Under 1.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

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