Forge vs York United Monday 12th October 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

Canadian Premier League

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Forge View team ›

Oct. 12, 2026 6 days, 7 hours ago

5 – 0

Full Time

York United View team ›

Match Analysis

Forge York United

Forge W D D D W D

York United L W L D L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts a home win for Forge with a 68% probability. This outlook is supported by a clear quality gap favoring Forge, combined with their moderate recent form against York United's poor form, and their history of dominating recent meetings with many goals scored. The model also sees a high likelihood of over 1.5 goals (69%) and over 2.5 goals (70%), as well as both teams scoring (60%), aligning with Forge's strong attacking recent performance and the goal-filled nature of their past encounters. The market odds reflect similar confidence in a home win and in the match exceeding 1.5 goals, though the model appears slightly more confident in these outcomes.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Competition	Date
Forge	York United	1 - 1	Canadian Premier League	September 5, 2026
York United	Forge	1 - 3	Canadian Premier League	July 26, 2026
York United	Forge	1 - 4	Canadian Premier League	June 7, 2026
Forge	York United	3 - 0	Canadian Premier League	October 18, 2025
York United	Forge	1 - 2	Canadian Premier League	August 9, 2025
Forge	York United	2 - 2	Canadian Premier League	June 29, 2025

Forge Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 7, 26	Home	Pacific FC	Canadian Premier League	3 - 0	Win
Oct 3, 26	Home	HFX Wanderers FC	Canadian Premier League	3 - 3	Draw
Sep 26, 26	Away	Vancouver FC	Canadian Premier League	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 19, 26	Away	Cavalry FC	Canadian Premier League	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 12, 26	Home	Atlético Ottawa	Canadian Premier League	3 - 0	Win
Sep 5, 26	Home	York United	Canadian Premier League	1 - 1	Draw

York United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 7, 26	Home	Supra du Quebec	Canadian Premier League	1 - 2	Loss
Oct 3, 26	Home	Cavalry FC	Canadian Premier League	3 - 1	Win
Sep 27, 26	Home	Pacific FC	Canadian Premier League	3 - 4	Loss
Sep 24, 26	Away	Vancouver FC	Canadian Premier League	3 - 3	Draw
Sep 20, 26	Away	HFX Wanderers FC	Canadian Premier League	4 - 1	Loss
Sep 13, 26	Home	Vancouver FC	Canadian Premier League	3 - 1	Win

Canadian Premier League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Forge	25	15	6	4	41	20	+21	51
7	York United	25	6	9	10	40	56	-16	27

View full table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cavalry FC	27	17	6	4	+34	57
2	Forge	27	17	6	4	+27	57
3	Atlético Ottawa	27	13	4	10	-2	43
4	Vancouver FC	27	10	7	10	+3	37
5	Supra du Quebec	27	10	5	12	-4	35
6	HFX Wanderers FC	27	7	7	13	-5	28
7	York United	27	6	9	12	-24	27
8	Pacific FC	27	2	8	17	-29	14

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.47% likelihood that both Forge and York United will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Forge to win

This prediction indicates that Forge has a 67.89% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.11 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 69.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 70.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Top Picks

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Odds Comparison

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Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Head to Head History

Forge Form (Last 6 Matches)

York United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Canadian Premier League Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Forge to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

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