Canadian Premier League
Match Analysis
Forge
York United
Forge
W
L
L
D
W
W
York United
W
D
L
L
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| York United | Forge | 1 - 3 | July 26, 2026 |
| York United | Forge | 1 - 4 | June 7, 2026 |
| Forge | York United | 3 - 0 | October 18, 2025 |
| York United | Forge | 1 - 2 | August 9, 2025 |
| Forge | York United | 2 - 2 | June 29, 2025 |
| York United | Forge | 2 - 2 | April 27, 2025 |
Forge Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 26 | Home | Supra du Quebec | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Cavalry FC | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Vancouver FC | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | HFX Wanderers FC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | York United | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 5, 26 | Away | Supra du Quebec | 1 - 2 | Win |
York United Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | HFX Wanderers FC | 4 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Pacific FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Cavalry FC | 5 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Forge | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | Atlético Ottawa | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Vancouver FC | 4 - 0 | Loss |
Canadian Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Forge | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 13 | +14 | 38 |
| 7 | York United | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 17 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.99% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Forge to win
This prediction indicates that Forge has a 65.32% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.97 %Most Likely Scorelines
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