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J1 League
Gamba Osaka logo Gamba Osaka
Sept. 12, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
FC Tokyo logo FC Tokyo

Match Analysis

Gamba Osaka FC Tokyo
Gamba Osaka W L D W W W
FC Tokyo W W D L L W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Gamba Osaka FC Tokyo 2 - 0 June 22, 2025
FC Tokyo Gamba Osaka 3 - 0 April 25, 2025
Gamba Osaka FC Tokyo 0 - 0 August 7, 2024
FC Tokyo Gamba Osaka 0 - 1 May 26, 2024
FC Tokyo Gamba Osaka 3 - 0 October 1, 2023
Gamba Osaka FC Tokyo 3 - 1 June 11, 2023

Gamba Osaka Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 26, 26 Home Biwako Shiga 2 - 0 Win
Aug 22, 26 Away Nagoya Grampus 3 - 1 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Away Mito Hollyhock 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 7, 26 Home Urawa 4 - 3 Win
Jul 24, 26 Away Kanazawa 0 - 6 Win
Jul 15, 26 Away Red Bull Salzburg 0 - 3 Win

FC Tokyo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 26, 26 Home Parceiro Nagano 6 - 0 Win
Aug 21, 26 Home JEF United Chiba 2 - 0 Win
Aug 15, 26 Away Vissel Kobe 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Home Machida Zelvia 1 - 5 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Home Borussia Dortmund 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 21, 26 Home Nagoya Grampus 2 - 1 Win

J1 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
10 Gamba Osaka 3 1 1 1 6 7 -1 4
11 FC Tokyo 3 1 1 1 5 7 -2 4

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.84% likelihood that both Gamba Osaka and FC Tokyo will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Gamba Osaka to win
This prediction indicates that Gamba Osaka has a 43.46% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.99 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.44% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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