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J1 League
Nagoya Grampus logo Nagoya Grampus
Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Fagiano Okayama logo Fagiano Okayama

Match Analysis

Nagoya Grampus Fagiano Okayama
Nagoya Grampus L L L D D L
Fagiano Okayama L L L W L L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Nagoya Grampus Fagiano Okayama 1 - 1 April 29, 2026
Fagiano Okayama Nagoya Grampus 1 - 1 March 1, 2026
Fagiano Okayama Nagoya Grampus 0 - 1 September 13, 2025
Nagoya Grampus Fagiano Okayama 0 - 0 May 6, 2025
Nagoya Grampus Fagiano Okayama 1 - 0 August 2, 2021
Fagiano Okayama Nagoya Grampus 0 - 1 November 5, 2017

Nagoya Grampus Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Home Shimizu S-pulse 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Away Consadole Sapporo 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 21, 26 Away FC Tokyo 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 6, 26 Away Machida Zelvia 0 - 0 Draw
May 30, 26 Home Machida Zelvia 2 - 2 Draw
May 23, 26 Away Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4 - 2 Loss

Fagiano Okayama Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Away Cerezo Osaka 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Away FC Schalke 04 3 - 1 Loss
Jul 22, 26 Away Werder Bremen 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 21, 26 Away Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1 - 2 Win
Jul 17, 26 Away SC Paderborn 07 3 - 1 Loss
Jul 14, 26 Away SV Wehen 2 - 0 Loss

J1 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
14 Fagiano Okayama 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
17 Nagoya Grampus 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.07% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Nagoya Grampus to win
This prediction indicates that Nagoya Grampus has a 44.69% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.51 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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J1 League

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