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J1 League
Mito Hollyhock logo Mito Hollyhock
Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Machida Zelvia logo Machida Zelvia

Match Analysis

Mito Hollyhock Machida Zelvia
Mito Hollyhock L L L L L L
Machida Zelvia W W D D W D
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Mito Hollyhock Machida Zelvia 2 - 2 April 29, 2026
Machida Zelvia Mito Hollyhock 2 - 2 February 14, 2026
Mito Hollyhock Machida Zelvia 1 - 1 June 24, 2023
Machida Zelvia Mito Hollyhock 3 - 0 March 12, 2023
Machida Zelvia Mito Hollyhock 2 - 3 July 6, 2022
Mito Hollyhock Machida Zelvia 0 - 0 May 8, 2022

Mito Hollyhock Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Away Kashiwa Reysol 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 6, 26 Home V-varen Nagasaki 0 - 1 Loss
May 30, 26 Away V-varen Nagasaki 1 - 0 Loss
May 24, 26 Home Kawasaki Frontale 1 - 3 Loss
May 16, 26 Home Tokyo Verdy 0 - 1 Loss
May 9, 26 Home Urawa 1 - 4 Loss

Machida Zelvia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Away FC Tokyo 1 - 5 Win
Jul 18, 26 Home Fujieda MYFC 2 - 1 Win
Jun 6, 26 Home Nagoya Grampus 0 - 0 Draw
May 30, 26 Away Nagoya Grampus 2 - 2 Draw
May 22, 26 Home Urawa 1 - 0 Win
May 17, 26 Away Kawasaki Frontale 1 - 1 Draw

J1 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Machida Zelvia 1 1 0 0 5 1 +4 3
14 Mito Hollyhock 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.17% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Machida Zelvia to win
This prediction indicates that Machida Zelvia has a 51.5% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.14 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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J1 League

Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka 8 hours from now · 1 p.m. › Kashima vs Nagoya Grampus 7 hours from now · noon › Mito Hollyhock vs Gamba Osaka 7 hours from now · noon › Kawasaki Frontale vs Kyoto Sanga 8 hours from now · 1 p.m. › Vissel Kobe vs FC Tokyo 8 hours from now · 1 p.m. › Shimizu S-pulse vs Yokohama F. Marinos 7 hours from now · 12:30 p.m. › Urawa vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima 8 hours from now · 1 p.m. › Fagiano Okayama vs V-varen Nagasaki 7 hours from now · 12:55 p.m. › JEF United Chiba vs Machida Zelvia 8 hours from now · 1 p.m. ›