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J1 League
V-varen Nagasaki logo V-varen Nagasaki
Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
FC Tokyo logo FC Tokyo

Match Analysis

V-varen Nagasaki FC Tokyo
V-varen Nagasaki W L L W W L
FC Tokyo L L W L D L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
FC Tokyo V-varen Nagasaki 2 - 2 June 22, 2022
FC Tokyo V-varen Nagasaki 0 - 1 July 27, 2018
V-varen Nagasaki FC Tokyo 2 - 5 April 8, 2018

V-varen Nagasaki Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Home Kyoto Sanga 2 - 1 Win
Jul 17, 26 Away Utrecht 3 - 2 Loss
Jul 14, 26 Away NEC Nijmegen 3 - 1 Loss
Jun 6, 26 Away Mito Hollyhock 0 - 1 Win
May 30, 26 Home Mito Hollyhock 1 - 0 Win
May 23, 26 Away Kyoto Sanga 1 - 0 Loss

FC Tokyo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Home Machida Zelvia 1 - 5 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Home Borussia Dortmund 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 21, 26 Home Nagoya Grampus 2 - 1 Win
Jun 6, 26 Home Cerezo Osaka 1 - 3 Loss
May 30, 26 Away Cerezo Osaka 2 - 2 Draw
May 23, 26 Away Kashima 1 - 0 Loss

J1 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 V-varen Nagasaki 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
20 FC Tokyo 1 0 0 1 1 5 -4 0

Predictions

V-varen Nagasaki to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that V-varen Nagasaki has a 38.19% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.77 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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J1 League

Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka 7 hours from now · 1 p.m. › Kashima vs Nagoya Grampus 6 hours from now · noon › Mito Hollyhock vs Gamba Osaka 6 hours from now · noon › Kawasaki Frontale vs Kyoto Sanga 7 hours from now · 1 p.m. › Vissel Kobe vs FC Tokyo 7 hours from now · 1 p.m. › Shimizu S-pulse vs Yokohama F. Marinos 7 hours from now · 12:30 p.m. › Urawa vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima 7 hours from now · 1 p.m. › Fagiano Okayama vs V-varen Nagasaki 7 hours from now · 12:55 p.m. › JEF United Chiba vs Machida Zelvia 7 hours from now · 1 p.m. ›