League Two
Match Analysis
Gillingham
Newport County
Gillingham
W
W
D
D
D
L
Newport County
D
L
L
D
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gillingham | Newport County | 3 - 2 | January 17, 2026 |
| Newport County | Gillingham | 1 - 1 | November 1, 2025 |
| Newport County | Gillingham | 1 - 3 | September 20, 2025 |
| Newport County | Gillingham | 3 - 1 | March 4, 2025 |
| Gillingham | Newport County | 0 - 2 | October 22, 2024 |
| Newport County | Gillingham | 1 - 0 | February 17, 2024 |
Gillingham Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Tranmere | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Rochdale | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Sep 1, 26 | Away | Chesterfield | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Northampton | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Fleetwood Town | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Walsall | 0 - 3 | Loss |
Newport County Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Fleetwood Town | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Northampton | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 1, 26 | Away | Salford City | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Tranmere | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Bristol Rovers | 5 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Rochdale | 3 - 0 | Win |
League Two Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Gillingham | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 20 | Newport County | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 4 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.68% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Gillingham to win
This prediction indicates that Gillingham has a 49.09% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.35 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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