Serie A logo

Serie A
Gremio logo Gremio
Sept. 20, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Palmeiras logo Palmeiras

Match Analysis

Gremio Palmeiras
Gremio W L L W L D
Palmeiras D W W L D D
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Palmeiras Gremio 2 - 1 April 3, 2026
Gremio Palmeiras 3 - 2 November 26, 2025
Palmeiras Gremio 1 - 0 July 27, 2025
Palmeiras Gremio 1 - 0 November 9, 2024
Gremio Palmeiras 2 - 2 July 4, 2024
Gremio Palmeiras 1 - 0 September 22, 2023

Gremio Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Home Chapecoense-sc 3 - 1 Win
Aug 23, 26 Away RB Bragantino 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 16, 26 Away Atletico-MG 3 - 0 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home Sao Paulo 2 - 1 Win
Jul 30, 26 Home Bolívar 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Home Fluminense 1 - 1 Draw

Palmeiras Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Away Mirassol 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 23, 26 Home Vasco DA Gama 4 - 1 Win
Aug 19, 26 Away Cerro Porteno 0 - 1 Win
Aug 15, 26 Away Fluminense 3 - 2 Loss
Aug 12, 26 Home Cerro Porteno 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 9, 26 Home Internacional 0 - 0 Draw

Serie A Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Palmeiras 25 15 7 3 45 21 +24 52
15 Gremio 24 7 7 10 27 32 -5 28

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.02% likelihood that both Gremio and Palmeiras will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Palmeiras to win
This prediction indicates that Palmeiras has a 53.64% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.10 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]
This comment has been removed
[[ comment.user.username ]]
[[ comment.comment ]]
[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply

Serie A

Internacional vs Santos 15 hours from now · 10 p.m. › Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG 5 hours ago · 12:30 a.m. › Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama 3 hours ago · 3 a.m. › Coritiba vs Mirassol 10 hours from now · 5 p.m. › remo vs Flamengo 15 hours from now · 10 p.m. › Cruzeiro vs Atletico Paranaense 15 hours from now · 10 p.m. ›