Hastings United vs Sutton Utd Wednesday 05th August 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Hastings United Sutton Utd

Hastings United L L L D W L

Sutton Utd D L W D L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 21, 26	Away	Roffey	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Away	Lewes	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 2, 25	Home	Faversham Town	0 - 3	Loss
Aug 29, 25	Away	Faversham Town	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 16, 25	Home	Harrow Borough	1 - 0	Win
Sep 28, 24	Away	Cray Wanderers	3 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 21, 26	Home	Walton & Hersham	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Home	AFC Wimbledon	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 14, 26	Away	Tonbridge Angels	0 - 2	Win
Jul 11, 26	Away	AFC Totton	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Away	Boreham Wood	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Home	Altrincham	1 - 2	Loss

This prediction indicates that Hastings United has a 44.69% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.37 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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