Bergisch Gladbach vs 1.FC Köln Thursday 23rd July 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Bergisch Gladbach 1.FC Köln

Bergisch Gladbach W W L L W D

1.FC Köln L L D L D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Bergisch Gladbach	1.FC Köln	0 - 6	September 6, 2023

Bergisch Gladbach Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 5, 26	Home	SSVg Velbert	2 - 1	Win
Jan 18, 26	Away	SF Baumberg	3 - 4	Win
Aug 7, 24	Away	Germania Ratingen	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 17, 24	Home	FC Viktoria Köln	0 - 1	Loss
Feb 10, 24	Home	SF Baumberg	5 - 3	Win
Jan 24, 24	Away	Pesch	2 - 2	Draw

1.FC Köln Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 16, 26	Away	Bayern München	5 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	FC Heidenheim	1 - 3	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	Union Berlin	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Bayer Leverkusen	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 17, 26	Away	FC St. Pauli	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 12, 26	Home	Werder Bremen	3 - 1	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.94% likelihood that both Bergisch Gladbach and 1.FC Köln will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

1.FC Köln to win

This prediction indicates that 1.FC Köln has a 70.45% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 13.61 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.2% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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