National League - South
Match Analysis
Hemel Hempstead Town
Tonbridge Angels
Hemel Hempstead Town
W
L
W
D
D
L
Tonbridge Angels
L
W
L
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Tonbridge Angels | 1 - 0 | February 28, 2026 |
| Tonbridge Angels | Hemel Hempstead Town | 1 - 3 | November 29, 2025 |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Tonbridge Angels | 2 - 0 | March 1, 2025 |
| Tonbridge Angels | Hemel Hempstead Town | 2 - 0 | November 23, 2024 |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Tonbridge Angels | 2 - 0 | January 13, 2024 |
| Tonbridge Angels | Hemel Hempstead Town | 3 - 3 | October 7, 2023 |
Hemel Hempstead Town Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Salisbury | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 18, 26 | Home | Maidenhead | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Farnborough | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Chelmsford City | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | St Albans City | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Wealdstone | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Tonbridge Angels Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Truro City | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 18, 26 | Away | Dover | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Torquay | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Braintree | 0 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | Eastbourne Borough | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Dulwich Hamlet | 3 - 1 | Win |
National League - South Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tonbridge Angels | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 6 |
| 13 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 4 |
Predictions
Hemel Hempstead Town to win
This prediction indicates that Hemel Hempstead Town has a 43.19% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.93 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.28% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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