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National League - South

Sept. 12, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Horsham Chesham United
Horsham W W D D L L
Chesham United W L L L L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Horsham Chesham United 1 - 2 December 20, 2025
Chesham United Horsham 0 - 0 August 19, 2025

Horsham Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Away Braintree 1 - 2 Win
Aug 18, 26 Home Hampton & Richmond 2 - 0 Win
Aug 15, 26 Home Salisbury 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Away Torquay 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Away Worthing 3 - 0 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Away Sutton Utd 2 - 0 Loss

Chesham United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Home Walton & Hersham 2 - 0 Win
Aug 19, 26 Away Farnborough 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Away Braintree 3 - 2 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Away Weston-super-Mare 3 - 0 Loss
Jul 28, 26 Away Chertsey Town 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 21, 26 Away Basingstoke Town 2 - 6 Win

National League - South Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Horsham 3 1 2 0 3 1 +2 5
22 Chesham United 3 0 0 3 2 7 -5 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.26% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Horsham to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Horsham has a 41.03% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.33 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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