Hume City vs Melbourne City II Saturday 01st August 2026 07:00 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Hume City Melbourne City II

Hume City L D W W W D

Melbourne City II D W W L L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Melbourne City II	Hume City	0 - 1	April 26, 2026

Hume City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 10, 26	Away	Preston Lions	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Home	Dandenong City	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 27, 26	Away	Dandenong Thunder	1 - 3	Win
Jun 20, 26	Home	Green Gully	3 - 2	Win
Jun 5, 26	Away	Bentleigh Greens	1 - 5	Win
May 30, 26	Home	South Melbourne	1 - 1	Draw

Melbourne City II Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Home	Heidelberg United	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Away	Altona Magic	0 - 3	Win
Jun 26, 26	Away	St. Albans Saints	0 - 2	Win
Jun 19, 26	Away	Oakleigh Cannons	3 - 1	Loss
May 30, 26	Home	Dandenong City	0 - 1	Loss
May 24, 26	Home	Dandenong Thunder	2 - 0	Win

Victoria NPL Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Hume City	20	12	4	4	40	24	+16	40
7	Melbourne City II	19	7	6	6	30	29	+1	27

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.36% likelihood that both Hume City and Melbourne City II will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Hume City to win

This prediction indicates that Hume City has a 59.33% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.00 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.87% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.58% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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