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Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Imabari Montedio Yamagata
Imabari L L D L D L
Montedio Yamagata W W L D W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Montedio Yamagata Imabari 2 - 1 November 9, 2025
Imabari Montedio Yamagata 2 - 2 March 30, 2025

Imabari Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Away Iwaki 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 22, 26 Away Vissel Kobe 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 7, 26 Away Vanraure Hachinohe 1 - 1 Draw
May 31, 26 Home FC Ryukyu 1 - 2 Loss
May 24, 26 Away Tokushima Vortis 1 - 1 Draw
May 17, 26 Home Kamatamare Sanuki 1 - 2 Loss

Montedio Yamagata Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Home Tochigi City 2 - 0 Win
Jul 25, 26 Away Albirex Niigata 3 - 4 Win
Jun 7, 26 Away Oita Trinita 1 - 0 Loss
May 31, 26 Home Matsumoto Yamaga 1 - 1 Draw
May 24, 26 Home Shonan Bellmare 3 - 1 Win
May 16, 26 Away Tochigi City 3 - 0 Loss

J2 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
32 Montedio Yamagata 20 6 3 11 21 27 -6 21
34 Imabari 20 5 5 10 16 21 -5 20

Predictions

Montedio Yamagata to win
This prediction indicates that Montedio Yamagata has a 42.08% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.27 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.96% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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